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PLAYERS / BAILEY SMITH
Updated 28 June 2026

Bailey Smith

#1/138⚡ Cap option
MID
Price $598kBE 88Owned Avg 138.3
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
▲ BUY

Smith delivered 106 in Geelong's 1-point thriller at Adelaide Oval — 8 above his 98 BE in the highest-pressure game of the round. His 148 average at $635k is the definition of elite premium MID, and cash gen is raging at +$1,107/wk. Two straight holds (R12, R11) undersold the trajectory; this is buy territory. Buy — captain viable and the best midfielder in the competition right now.

Signals1/3 · Weak alignment
Form
Declining
Trajectory
-$1k/wk
Consistency
Consistent
Recent formSeason avg 138
109
106
119
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (MID), ±$200k price band

Bailey Smith

MID

Tom Green

MID
Form
R9
130
R10
154
R11
115
R12
119
R13
106
R14
109
Pricing
Price$598k
Price$600k
Breakeven88
Breakeven88

Decision

Should I trade Bailey Smith?

Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.

Intel feed

Recent intel

Breakout Signal· T3

Bailey Smith is running hot at Geelong with expanded contested possession and clearance work. Comments across the thread note him adding contested ball to his elite ball-movement skills, and he is emerging as a Brownlow contender.

Community Intel· T3

Bailey Smith is expected to cop the James Jordon tag this round, limiting his scoring potential. Community consensus confirms the tag assignment from Sydney.

Community Intel· T3

Bailey Smith compared against Ryley Sanders and Justin McInerney as a season-long SC scoring option.

Community Intel· T3

Bailey Smith (GEEL) is an active trade-in target at r10. Multiple community members trading him in, citing strong MID composition value. Good premium option even without DPP, preferred over holding cash rookies.

Injury Watch· T3

Bailey Smith strapping again noted in R11 selection thread; community asking if he is carrying a niggle given persistent heavy strapping across multiple games.

Community Intel· T3

Bailey Smith discussed as a future captain candidate at Geelong; Danger's retirement timeline sparking succession planning talk, with Smith and Holmes as frontrunners.

Breakout Signal· T3

Community strongly endorsing Bailey Smith as top-2 player in the AFL with Brownlow favorite status. Multiple commenters from rival clubs corroborating his elite form. Strong SC premium signal.

Injury Watch· T3

Bailey Smith shoulder heavily strapped in recent games and a genuine injury concern ahead of the Swans clash. Community flagging it as a test situation.

Community Questions

What people are asking about Bailey Smith

Mentioned in
  • Which players are the best upgrade and downgrade targets heading into Round 7?
    UnknownTop: Anderson and Tsatas are the mid downgrade targets (45%)
    24
  • Who will finish as the highest-scoring SuperCoach player in each position by the end of the 2026 season?
    UnknownTop: Bont, Heeney, Butters, Naicos headline a settled mid top-8 (35%)
    12
  • Should Neale be captained this week?
    L. NealeMIDTop: Lock the VC loop (Jackson 143) — skip captaining Neale (75%)
    12
  • Are premium players worth their price in 2026 SuperCoach, or is a value/mid-pricer strategy better?
    UnknownTop: Start premium-heavy; only buy proven mid-pricers (50%)
    10

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