Matt Guelfi scored 50 this round, comfortably clearing his 38-point BE, which is encouraging for a $257.5k cash cow option. The AMBER intel flags role uncertainty at Essendon, but if he holds his spot he has real upside from this low base price. Low ownership at 0.1% means there's no rush, but coaches needing a budget FWD should keep a close eye on his selection status.
PLAYERS / MATT GUELFI
Updated 28 June 2026
Matt Guelfi
·⚠ test - Hamstring (Test)
FWD
Price $221kBE 32Owned 0%Avg 36.0
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
◉ WATCH
Signals0/3 · No alignment
Form
2 games — small sampleTrajectory
-$1k/wkConsistency
Need 3+ gamesRecent formSeason avg 36
22▼
50▲
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (FWD), ±$200k price band
Matt Guelfi
FWDToby Murray
FWD—
—
Form
R3
50
R4
22
R8
72
R9
73
R10
105
R11
0
R13
35
R14
46
Pricing
Price$221k
Price$221k
Breakeven32
Breakeven32
Cash/wk+$-1k
Cash/wk+$4k
Decision
Should I trade Matt Guelfi?
Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.
Intel feed
Recent intel
Community Intel· T3
Matt Guelfi recalled to Essendon R11 side. Community split on the selection - some see value in a genuine small forward presence, others note he has not been influential in VFL recently.
Vest Risk· T3
Matt Guelfi had a poor VFL showing vs Gold Coast — appalling kicks, not enough ball, deployed oddly on a wing. As the most senior player in the team, community notes he should not earn AFL selection off that performance. Reinforces his precarious spot.
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