Matt Guelfi scored 50 this round, comfortably clearing his 38-point BE, which is encouraging for a $257.5k cash cow option. The AMBER intel flags role uncertainty at Essendon, but if he holds his spot he has real upside from this low base price. Low ownership at 0.1% means there's no rush, but coaches needing a budget FWD should keep a close eye on his selection status.
PLAYERS / MATT GUELFI
Updated 17 May 2026
Matt Guelfi
·Bye Rd 12
FWD
Price $258kBE 38Owned 0%Bye Rd 12Avg 36.0
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
◉ WATCH
Signals0/3 · No alignment
Form
2 games — small sampleTrajectory
FlatConsistency
Need 3+ gamesRecent formSeason avg 36
22▼
50▲
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (FWD), ±$200k price band
Matt Guelfi
FWDMason Cox
FWD—
—
Form
R3
50
R4
22
R6
56
R7
52
R8
68
R9
55
R10
36
Pricing
Price$258k
Price$258k
Breakeven38
Breakeven38
Cash/wk+$0k
Cash/wk+$2k
Decision
Should I trade Matt Guelfi?
Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.
Intel feed
Recent intel
Vest Risk· T3
Matt Guelfi had a poor VFL showing vs Gold Coast — appalling kicks, not enough ball, deployed oddly on a wing. As the most senior player in the team, community notes he should not earn AFL selection off that performance. Reinforces his precarious spot.
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