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PLAYERS / MATT GUELFI
Updated 28 June 2026

Matt Guelfi

·test - Hamstring (Test)
FWD
Price $221kBE 32Owned 0%Avg 36.0
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
◉ WATCH

Matt Guelfi scored 50 this round, comfortably clearing his 38-point BE, which is encouraging for a $257.5k cash cow option. The AMBER intel flags role uncertainty at Essendon, but if he holds his spot he has real upside from this low base price. Low ownership at 0.1% means there's no rush, but coaches needing a budget FWD should keep a close eye on his selection status.

Signals0/3 · No alignment
Form
2 games — small sample
Trajectory
-$1k/wk
Consistency
Need 3+ games
Recent formSeason avg 36
22
50
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (FWD), ±$200k price band

Matt Guelfi

FWD

Toby Murray

FWD
Form
R3
50
R4
22
R8
72
R9
73
R10
105
R11
0
R13
35
R14
46
Pricing
Price$221k
Price$221k
Breakeven32
Breakeven32
Cash/wk+$-1k
Cash/wk+$4k

Decision

Should I trade Matt Guelfi?

Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.

Intel feed

Recent intel

Community Intel· T3

Matt Guelfi recalled to Essendon R11 side. Community split on the selection - some see value in a genuine small forward presence, others note he has not been influential in VFL recently.

Vest Risk· T3

Matt Guelfi had a poor VFL showing vs Gold Coast — appalling kicks, not enough ball, deployed oddly on a wing. As the most senior player in the team, community notes he should not earn AFL selection off that performance. Reinforces his precarious spot.

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