Jefferson scraped 33 in Melbourne's 49-point hiding at Traeger Park — just clearing his 32 BE by one point while the team posted only 70. Cash gen remains positive at $3,769/rd and at $215.4k he is still generating value, but the R10 buy call is showing its age. The pattern is inconsistent: 33, 69, 51, 27, 66, and now 33 again. Two sub-35 scores in the last three games reactivate the vest risk concern. Hold if you are already in — the cash gen is still ticking and BE is low enough to survive a quiet week. But do not add new capital until he posts back-to-back above-50 scores.
Signals2/3 · Partial alignment
Form
Stable
Trajectory
+$3k/wk
Consistency
Variable
Matthew Jefferson
·⚠ out - Foot (2-4 weeks)
FWD
SC Avg46.5
Form
Break-even31↑ rising
Price$211k3wk ↑ $230k
Owned—
Value1.4poor
UNDERVALUED — 16 pts above BE. Price rising.+$3k/wk
R0
—
R1
R2
R3
R4
R5
R6
33
R7
69
How they compare
Matthew Jefferson
FWD
Aidan Schubert
FWD
—
—
Form
R8
51
R9
27
R10
66
R11
47
R12
33
R15
40
—
Pricing
Price$211k
Price$114k
Breakeven31
Breakeven17
Cash/wk+$3k
Cash/wk+$0k
But this is generic. Your team changes everything.
Sam Mitchell
MID
AVG94
3GM102
BKE88
PRICE$485k
Trade Mitchell → upgrade Xerri to Grundy. Frees $38k and fixes your ruck.
Your personalised recommendation
Read the latest SuperCoach thought pieces and player intel — grounded in prices, form, and community signal — before you pull the trigger on Matthew Jefferson.