McGovern posted 52 in a genuine 11-point road loss at the Gabba — barely above his 50 BE in a competitive game where Carlton were fighting for the win. The R8 bounce-back to 77 was one round of evidence; R9 returns to the pattern of marginal output. Cash gen is negative at -$1,054 per round and the price is eroding. Sell now before the slide accelerates — the thesis never rebuilt.