58 below his 66 BE in a 25-point loss at Marrara Oval. Port's load management is the root cause — Wines is being capped at roughly 65% TOG and the vest is costing scores at exactly the moments it hurts most. Take the R8 126 out of the equation and his last four rounds read 88, 50, 126, 58 — a 74-point average inflated by one outlier with two sub-BE scores bookending it. At $446.9k with a 58 average and -$2,633/rd cash gen, the value case has collapsed. Sell this week and recycle the capital.
Signals1/3 · Weak alignment
Form
Stable
Trajectory
-$3k/wk
Consistency
Variable
Oliver Wines
⚡ Cap option·Bye Rd 12·⚠ out - Suspended (Round 3)
MID
SC Avg58.0
Form
Break-even66↓ falling
Price$447k3wk ↑ $473k
Owned—
Value0.1poor
BELOW BE — 8 pts under BE. Price falling.$-3k/wk
R0
—
R1
R2
R3
R4
50
R5
101
R6
88
R7
88
How they compare
Oliver Wines
MID
Christian Moraes
MID
—
—
Form
R5
101
R6
88
R7
88
R8
126
R9
50
R10
58
R6
40
R7
98
R8
57
R9
60
R10
43
Pricing
Price$447k
Price$287k
Breakeven66
Breakeven42
Cash/wk+$-3k
Cash/wk+$2k
But this is generic. Your team changes everything.
Sam Mitchell
MID
AVG94
3GM102
BKE88
PRICE$485k
Trade Mitchell → upgrade Xerri to Grundy. Frees $38k and fixes your ruck.
Your personalised recommendation
Upload your team and get a specific answer — who to trade Oliver Wines for, what it does to your bye structure, and what it opens up for your season.