55% Voted to Pick Up Cheddar When He Came Back. His Price Fell $40k. Here's Who Got It Right.
The community split 55/30 on picking up Daniel Curtin on his Adelaide return. His price fell $40k. The registry now has the data to settle the debate.
55% Voted to Pick Up Cheddar When He Came Back. His Price Fell $40k. Here's Who Got It Right.
93 comments, a 55/30 split, and one of the sharpest SC debates of the mid-season. The registry has the final word.
When Adelaide confirmed Daniel Curtin's return from a dislocated knee, the SuperCoach community split hard. 55% said pick him up — "classic cash gen entry if he holds his spot." 30% said wait. "The Crows have a rigid rotation and Curtin is filling an injury hole, not a genuine role lock."
Ninety-three comments. Here's what the data says now.
What the 55% Were Betting On
The bull case was straightforward: Curtin had banked strong SANFL form and was expected back in the side. A returning player with that track record earns a debut price floor — classic cash gen entry if he holds his spot.
The problem: Curtin wasn't coming back at a discount. He was sitting at $392.2k — premium pricing that demands immediate output, not the rust-shaking game most returning players have.
What the 30% Saw That the 55% Missed
"The Crows have a rigid rotation." That turned out to be the line that mattered.
Curtin's return in Round 8 was a 49 — below his 58 BE. Registry: watch. Round 9: 74 (watch). Round 10: 48 again, and the sell verdict was immediate. By Round 11, his price had fallen from $392.2k to $351.8k. That's $40k gone from anyone who bought on the return hype.
The inconsistency was exactly the vest risk the 30% flagged. Scores of 49, 74, 48, 71 — a player still finding form post-injury, not a locked-in cash cow. The Crows rotation was rigid enough that he couldn't string two consistent games together.
So Where Is He Now?
Round 13: 116. Fifty-eight above his 58 BE.
The registry has Daniel Curtin at hold, $351.8k, cash gen flat at $0/wk. The big score didn't move his price yet — that happens when you need multiple above-BE scores to rebuild the moving average. But the inconsistency pattern may be breaking.
For holders who rode out the $40k drop: this is what patience looks like. For the 55% who bought at $392k-ish and are still sitting at $351k — the 116 is the first real sign the thesis was right, just four rounds too early.
The 30% who waited? They can now look at Curtin at $351.8k with a hold verdict and a 116 in the bank, and decide with cleaner data than anyone had at the time.
Wait and see was right then. The 116 changes the picture from here.
Updated: 3 July 2026. Data sourced from RookieBible intel registry.
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