Cameron's Average (66.7) Clears His Breakeven (60) — Exactly the Profile You Hold. He Just Scored 14. The Registry Says Sell.

Five straight rounds above breakeven, then a 14 that undoes the lot.

Jeremy Cameron at $470.5k, averaging 66.7 against a 60 breakeven, was the definition of a quiet hold — average clears breakeven by a comfortable margin, cash gen ticking along, nothing to think about. That was the registry's call for five rounds running. Then Geelong's premium forward posted 14 in Round 13, and "nothing to think about" became "sell."

Five Rounds of Hold, Five Scores Above BE

From Round 7 through Round 12, Cameron put up 72, 96, 76, 104 and 82. Every single one cleared a breakeven sitting in the high-60s. The registry's verdict each week: hold. That's the profile every SC coach wants from a premium forward — not spectacular, just reliably above the line, week after week.

What Changed in Round 13

14 points. 46 below his 60 breakeven — by far his worst game of the season. Cash generation, which had been ticking over through the five-round hold streak, has swung to -$3,088 a week. At $470.5k, a premium forward posting single-figure scores isn't a one-off bad week — it's the start of a price correction.

Why the Registry Didn't Wait for a Second Data Point

The hold case for Cameron rested on one thing: his average (66.7) sat comfortably above his breakeven (60), a 6.7-point buffer that kept cash gen positive and made him a low-maintenance hold. A 14 doesn't just sit below that breakeven — it drags the average itself down toward it. The buffer that justified five straight holds is mostly gone after one game, and the cash-gen number has already flipped from positive to a $3,088-a-week bleed. The registry's call: sell, "indefensible at this price."

The Verdict

If you've held Cameron through the five-round run — and the hold calls were correct each time — this isn't about overreacting to one bad score. It's that the exact thing that made him a hold (average comfortably ahead of breakeven, cash gen positive) has flipped in a single round, at a price ($470.5k) where there are forwards generating positive cash gen elsewhere. The registry's read: move him on. Five good weeks bought him patience; one 14 has spent it.

Updated: 13 June 2026. Data sourced from RookieBible intel registry.

Pre-briefed. Opinionated. The more you challenge it, the sharper it gets. Check the live Cameron verdict →