Saad scored 52 in Carlton's 11-point road loss at the Gabba — below his 62 BE, and the follow-up to R8's encouraging 90. The swing from 90 to 52 in back-to-back games is the Saad problem: flashy when things go right, below-par in tough away matches. He spent weeks in the VFL earlier this season when Carlton had clear defensive need, which tells you the coaches are not fully sold either. At .6k he needs to be consistently above 62 BE; he's not doing that. Watch one more week — if he goes below BE again, sell.