Saad scored 52 in Carlton's 11-point road loss at the Gabba — below his 62 BE, and the follow-up to R8's encouraging 90. The swing from 90 to 52 in back-to-back games is the Saad problem: flashy when things go right, below-par in tough away matches. He spent weeks in the VFL earlier this season when Carlton had clear defensive need, which tells you the coaches are not fully sold either. At .6k he needs to be consistently above 62 BE; he's not doing that. Watch one more week — if he goes below BE again, sell.
Signals1/3 · Weak alignment
Form
Stable
Trajectory
Flat
Consistency
No data
Adam Saad
·⚠ test - Hamstring (Test)
DEF
SC Avg75.0solid
Form
Break-even62↑ rising
Price$420k3wk ↑ $448k
Owned—
Value—
UNDERVALUED — 13 pts above BE. Price rising.$-1k/wk
R0
83
R1
R2
—
R3
R4
R5
R6
R7
How they compare
Adam Saad
DEF
Hugh Bond
DEF
—
—
Form
R0
83
R8
90
R9
52
R3
84
R4
34
R6
57
R7
88
R8
17
R9
48
Pricing
Price$420k
Price$251k
Breakeven62
Breakeven37
Cash/wk+$-1k
Cash/wk+$3k
But this is generic. Your team changes everything.
Sam Mitchell
MID
AVG94
3GM102
BKE88
PRICE$485k
Trade Mitchell → upgrade Xerri to Grundy. Frees $38k and fixes your ruck.
Your personalised recommendation
Read the latest SuperCoach thought pieces and player intel — grounded in prices, form, and community signal — before you pull the trigger on Adam Saad.