McStay posted 78 in R10, 37 above his 41 BE — his best output in weeks and a genuine sign the floor has been found after bleeding price from $349k to $279.6k. Cash gen is still negative on the rolling average but R10 momentum is encouraging. The sell calls from R6-R9 played out perfectly. Hold and watch one more round — if he backs this up, the value case below his 41 BE is real. Do not buy back in yet.
PLAYERS / DANIEL MCSTAY
Updated 17 May 2026
Daniel Mcstay
#45/166·Bye Rd 12
FWD
Price $280kBE 41Owned —Bye Rd 12Avg 69.5
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
◉ WATCH
Signals2/3 · Partial alignment
Form
ImprovingTrajectory
-$3k/wkConsistency
ConsistentRecent formSeason avg 70
78▲
39▼
67
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (FWD), ±$200k price band
Daniel Mcstay
FWDJack Williams
FWD—
—
Form
R5
61
R6
30
R7
54
R8
67
R9
39
R10
78
R7
26
R10
57
Pricing
Price$280k
Price$279k
Breakeven41
Breakeven41
Cash/wk+$-3k
Cash/wk+$0k
Decision
Should I trade Daniel Mcstay?
Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.
Intel feed
Recent intel
Community Intel· T3
Dan McStay stood out as a positive performer in Collingwood's R9 loss to Geelong, with multiple commenters noting he played well and appears to be finding form.
Community Intel· T3
Daniel McStay had a very quiet first half vs Essendon R7 with minimal stats (1 kick, 1 handball, 0 marks at half time) and multiple commenters questioning his place in the side. He improved slightly later but community sentiment is negative about his output.
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