McStay posted 78 in R10, 37 above his 41 BE — his best output in weeks and a genuine sign the floor has been found after bleeding price from $349k to $279.6k. Cash gen is still negative on the rolling average but R10 momentum is encouraging. The sell calls from R6-R9 played out perfectly. Hold and watch one more round — if he backs this up, the value case below his 41 BE is real. Do not buy back in yet.
Signals2/3 · Partial alignment
Form
Improving
Trajectory
-$3k/wk
Consistency
Consistent
Daniel Mcstay
·Bye Rd 12
FWD
SC Avg69.5
Form
Break-even41↑ rising
Price$280k3wk ↑ $322k
Owned—
Value0.2poor
UNDERVALUED — 29 pts above BE. Price rising.$-3k/wk
R0
39
R1
34
R2
—
R3
61
R4
64
R5
61
R6
30
R7
54
How they compare
Daniel Mcstay
FWD
Hussien El Achkar
FWD
—
—
Form
R5
61
R6
30
R7
54
R8
67
R9
39
R10
78
R1
40
R2
24
Pricing
Price$280k
Price$114k
Breakeven41
Breakeven17
Cash/wk+$-3k
Cash/wk+$0k
But this is generic. Your team changes everything.
Sam Mitchell
MID
AVG94
3GM102
BKE88
PRICE$485k
Trade Mitchell → upgrade Xerri to Grundy. Frees $38k and fixes your ruck.
Your personalised recommendation
Upload your team and get a specific answer — who to trade Daniel Mcstay for, what it does to your bye structure, and what it opens up for your season.