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PLAYERS / ZAC BAILEY
Updated 17 May 2026

Zac Bailey

#55/138⚡ Cap option·Bye Rd 12
MID
Price $484kBE 71Owned —Bye Rd 12Avg 79.5
ROOKIEBIBLEVerdict
◉ WATCH

Bailey scraped exactly 75 — right on his BE, zero cash gen in a home win by 11 against Carlton. After the 122 and 123 in R7-R8 he's cooling, effort questions are being asked about his forward pressure, and there's genuine contract noise with multiple clubs circling. He's not bleeding yet but the trajectory is flat and there's fog on the roster front. Watch him this week — if he can't kick on from here, he becomes tradeable.

Signals1/3 · Weak alignment
Form
Stable
Trajectory
Flat
Consistency
Variable
Recent formSeason avg 80
52▼
75▼
122▲
Comparable PicksWhy this comparison · Same primary position (MID), ±$200k price band

Zac Bailey

MID

Touk Miller

MID
—
—
Form
R5
130
R6
52
R7
123
R8
122
R9
75
R10
52
R5
72
R6
103
R7
80
R8
104
R9
101
R10
86
Pricing
Price$484k
Price$483k
Breakeven71
Breakeven71

Decision

Should I trade Zac Bailey?

Form, breakeven, and a comparable replacement weighed up.

Intel feed

Recent intel

Community Intel· T3

Zac Bailey criticised for lack of effort and forward defensive pressure in R10 loss to Geelong. Multiple comments note his fantasy price was rising but he shaved value with this performance. Community describes him as a 'vibes player' who only puts in effort selectively.

u/GT40Slotracer (score 20), u/lauren582 (score 4)
Community Intel· T3

Zac Bailey (Brisbane Lions) publicly stated he wants to stay but flagged family proximity as a factor. Community reads this as playing both clubs for a higher price. Adelaide Crows reported to have offered $10M over 6 years. Brisbane have matching rights. Outcome uncertain; some expect announcement around R15-16.

u/ILikeDiscussing (post, 43 comments) + u/Salzberger top comment score 54
Breakout Signal· T3

"About to go supernova" — OP flags contract-year narrative and labels Bailey a must-have; multiple commenters corroborate they bought him in recent weeks and rate his consistency for a forward.

u/This_Ease_5678 on r/AFLSupercoach (post) + u/Raawwwwk (score 5) + u/Possible_Mention_960 (score 2)
Community Intel· T3

OP weighs Zac Bailey as a one-week-pivot trade-in for matchup vs Essendon (Brisbane's R7 opponent), pitched against Kozy who is expected to be tagged.

u/Bomber2712 on r/AFLSupercoach (post)
Community Intel· T3

Community post questioning why Zac Bailey is being widely picked up by SC coaches, with the owner considering bringing him in for R7 based on crowd wisdom.

u/MarketOk3786 on r/AFLSupercoach (post)
Community Intel· T4

Targeted as bye-round upgrade; OP notes price won't blow up much if he merely exceeds BE.

Reddit OP
Community Intel· T4

Considered as bye-round forward upgrade. Owner: scores quickly when Brisbane on top, downhill skier vs better contested sides. Recent buyer who paid for a 50 regrets timing despite today's score.

Reddit post + 3 comments
Community Intel· T3

Multiple community commenters questioned Zac Bailey output in R6 v Melbourne, asking what he actually does on field. Criticism focused on lack of tackling effort and waiting for kicks rather than creating.

u/qsk8r on r/brisbanelions (post) + u/Ok-Raise-1173 (comment, score 9), u/Jolly-Championship31 (comment, score 6)
Community Questions

What people are asking about Zac Bailey

Mentioned in
  • Is it worth trading in Phoenix Gothard given his recent form and upcoming schedule?
    P. GothardFWDTop: Don't trade in — you've missed the cash gen window (50%)
    17
  • Who are the best forward options in SuperCoach outside of Sheezel, Petracca and Kozzie Pickett heading into Round 9?
    UnknownTop: Touk Miller is the next best, but same bye problem as Trac (40%)
    10

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