Articles
Thought pieces with a spine — what we think is true, what to watch next, what to do before lockout.
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Blake Acres Missed 10 Rounds. He Just Scored 108. His Price Hasn't Moved.
Acres was a preseason buy pick who didn't play until Round 12. He's been $377.7k for months. Then 108 in a Carlton road win — the registry just called buy.
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The Registry Called Sell on Brayden Cook Five Times. It Just Called Buy.
The registry called sell on Cook for five straight rounds. His price barely moved. Then he scored 70 in a 1-point thriller and the call flipped.
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He Was Averaging 137. He Scored 41 in Round 13. The Registry Called Sell. Here's the Pattern It Saw.
A 137-average mid in a Sydney side that was winning. Round 13: 41. 29 below BE. Ownership at 0%. The community logic says you don't sell on one bad game. The registry disagreed. Here's why.
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62% Said OHB Had Richmond's Ruck Spot. 22% Said Ryan Had One More Shot. Here's Who Was Right.
The community split 62/22/12 on OHB's ruck role at round 6. The registry sat on watch. By round 9 — at 0.55% ownership, sub-$150k — it flipped to buy. The coaches who moved then banked $94k in cash gen.
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65% of Coaches Voted to Trade McKay Out When He Got Dropped. Here's Who Was Right.
65% voted to trade McKay out when he was dropped for Round 9. The registry called buy by Round 13 at $265k averaging 98. Here's what the trade-out crowd missed.
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Four Sell Calls. A Marshall Ruck Split. $27k in Price Erosion. What Holding TDK Has Actually Cost.
Tom De Koning has four sell calls in 2026 and a Rowan Marshall ruck split that caps his ceiling. His actual St Kilda scoring average is 69 — not the 118 coaches are anchoring on. Here is what holding TDK has actually cost.
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He Scored 119 in a 114-Point Blowout. The Registry Still Said Sell. Here's Why It Was Right.
Chad Warner scored 119 in Round 12. The registry called sell. Here is why the blowout 119 was a clearance sale, not a ceiling performance — and what the price trail says about who got it right.
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Nine Straight Hold Verdicts. A 39. An Achilles Flag Nobody Tweeted. Then Confidence-8 Sell.
Sam Flanders was averaging 110 and the registry had called hold nine straight times. Round 12 brought an Achilles flag, a CBA role shift, and a confidence-8 sell verdict. Here's what changed.
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He Scored 132 in Round 7. Won a Rising Star Nomination. The Registry Just Called Sell.
Josh Lindsay tripled in value from $122.5k to $373.2k. His Round 12 verdict is confidence-7 sell. Here's why the cash gen window is closing at Round 18.
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The Registry Called Avoid Four Times Before Round 5. Then He Kicked 7 Goals Against Melbourne. Malcolm Rosas Has Dropped $70k From His Peak. The Registry Says Buy.
Avoided four times before Round 5. Then 127 points against Melbourne. Malcolm Rosas has dropped $70k from his peak price. The registry says buy.
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30% of Coaches Called Ladhams for Sydney's R9 Ruck Spot. The Registry Had Been Calling Avoid Since Round 1. He Posted 97 in R12 and the Call Flipped.
The community saw the VFL form. The registry saw 11 rounds of injury cloud. Both were right about different things.
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Gresham Was a Round 0 Buy at $298k. Twelve Rounds Later, the Cash Machine Still Has Not Arrived.
Gresham entered 2026 as a Round 0 buy at $298k with GREEN intel and a 44 BE. Twelve rounds and a $61k price drop later, cash gen is -$2,674 per round and the registry has been avoid for five straight rounds.
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65% Voted to Trade Ridley After His R6 Calf. The Registry Had Already Called Sell at Confidence 9.
The community debated 65/20 on trading Ridley after his R6 calf. The registry had already issued a confidence-9 sell. Here is why the 20% who held got stranded at $418k.
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32% of Coaches Voted to Trade Murdock Out at R11. He Scored 102 the Next Week. The Registry Has Him at Hold.
The R11 tagging panic nearly had a third of coaches selling Murdock at $307k. He posted 102 the following game. Here's where the registry sits now.
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Hannaford's Average Says Cash Cow. One Score Is Doing All the Work.
Hannaford's 63-point average is built on one outlier game. Four rounds of follow-up data say avoid, and the price is already correcting.
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Tom Edwards' Price Is Still Climbing. The Role Isn't There Anymore.
Edwards' price keeps climbing on lagging cash-gen data while the registry has had him at avoid since the R8 role mismatch.
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The Community Is Split 55/30 on Trading In Bontempelli. His Price Has Dropped $120k. The Registry Says Buy. Here's Who's Right.
The SC community is split 55/30 on trading in Bontempelli. His price dropped $120k but output barely moved. The verdict registry says buy.
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Howes Was a 'Depth Piece' at $269k in Round 0. He's Averaging 77 With a 40 BE Across 11 Games. The Registry Just Flipped Back to Buy.
Blake Howes was a Melbourne depth piece nobody wanted at $269k. He is now averaging 77 with a 40 BE across 11 games — one of the best value DEF plays in the competition.
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Xerri Scored 199, 164, and 150 in His Best Three Rounds. He Just Posted 43 at $631k. His Average Has Crashed From 128 to 87.
Xerri was the best ruckman in SuperCoach 2026 — 199, 164, 150 in his peak rounds. He just scored 43 at $631k with a crashed average. The registry says sell.
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Richards' Price Has Crashed $80k Since Round 5. He's Scored 99, 126, and 110 in Three of His Last Four. At $326k and 0% Ownership, the Market Is Asleep.
Joe Richards' price crashed $80k after back-to-back sell calls in R9-R10. He's since scored 83, 99, 126, 79, and 110 across five games. At $326k and 0% ownership, the buy window is wide open.
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Long Scored 92 in a Drawn Game in R8. He's Averaged 60 in Six Rounds Since. He Just Managed 54 Against Richmond.
Ned Long scored 92 in a drawn game in R8 and coaches held. Since then he's averaged 60 across six games and just scored 54 against Richmond. Cash gen is negative at -$3,200/wk. The registry says sell at confidence 8.
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The Registry Said Sell Cook for Five Straight Rounds. He Scored Above BE Every Time. It Just Flipped to Buy.
The registry said sell Brayden Cook for five straight rounds. He scored above breakeven every time. Cash gen at $10k-plus per week. The verdict just flipped to buy.
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Acres Was Avoid Since Round 3. He Just Scored 108 at $377k. The Registry Has Flipped to Buy.
Blake Acres was avoid since Round 3 due to injury. He just scored 67 and 108 back-to-back at $377k. The registry has flipped to buy and the price has not moved.
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Gunston's Price Has Dropped $47k Since Round 1. He Just Scored 97 on Return. The Registry Says Buy the Dip.
Gunston's price has dropped $47k since Round 1 after a mid-foot sprain. He returned in Round 12 with 97. At 419k averaging 81 with five scores above 95 this season, the registry says buy the dip.
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Laverde Crashed to 21 in Round 8. The Registry Said Sell. Three Above-BE Scores Later, It Says Buy Again at Confidence 8.
Laverde was a sell after scoring 21 in Round 8. Three straight above-BE scores of 106, 90, and 77 later, the registry says buy at confidence 8. At 386k averaging 90 with 0.248% ownership, the market still hasn't caught up.
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Bailey's Price Has Dropped $72k Since Round 5. He's Averaging 96 at 0% Ownership. The Contract Noise Was Just Noise.
Bailey's price dropped $72k on contract noise while he averaged 96 across 13 games at 0% ownership. The 60% who said ignore the contract talk had it right.
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55% Called the Tsatas Drop a Coaching Blunder. He Came Back and Scored 85, 93, 73. They Were Right.
55% of coaches called the Tsatas R7 drop a coaching blunder. Four rounds later he came back scoring 85, 93, 73. The verdict arc settles the debate.
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Fritsch Scored 104 Against Collingwood. Three Straight Sell Verdicts Say It Doesn't Matter.
Fritsch scored 104 against Collingwood and owners think he's back. Three straight sell verdicts disagree. The inconsistency pattern hasn't changed — the 104 is your exit window, not your vindication.
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Hill's Price Has Dropped $70k Since Round 9. He Just Scored 98 in a 2-Point Thriller. The Registry Says Buy.
The market has sold Bradley Hill after three quiet weeks. His price has dropped $70k since R9. The registry says buy — here's why the 98 in a 2-point thriller matters more than the dip.
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Hopper's Average Looks Fine at 72. He's Bled $133k in Value Since Round 1. Eight Straight Sell Verdicts Haven't Changed.
Jacob Hopper is averaging 72 and clearing breakeven — looks like a hold. But he has bled $133k in value with eight straight sell verdicts. Here is why the average is a trap.
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Ash Has Dropped $74k Since Round 1. He Just Scored 119, 111, and 99 in Three Weeks. The Registry Says Buy at Confidence 9.
Lachlan Ash has dropped $74k since Round 1 while averaging 99 as a premium DEF. The registry says buy at confidence 9 — here is why the market has this wrong.
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Williams Was Avoid for Five Straight Rounds. Three Above-BE Scores Later, the Registry Just Flipped to Buy at Confidence 8.
Jack Williams was avoid for five straight rounds. After a role confirmation and three consecutive above-BE scores with 69% cash gen, the registry has flipped to buy at confidence 8.
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Callaghan's Price Has Dropped $111k Since Round 1. He Just Scored 104 and 144 Back-to-Back. The Registry Says Buy at Confidence 8.
Callaghan's price has dropped $111k but he just scored 104 and 144 back-to-back. The registry says buy at confidence 8. The market is still pricing in a two-round tag scare from R6-R7.
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Everyone Sold Serong After the R8 Sell Call. He Just Scored 110 at 0% Ownership. The Registry Says Buy Again.
Jai Serong was 74% owned in R1. The R8 sell call emptied ownership to 0%. He just scored 110 — career-best — and the registry flipped back to buy. The cash cow everyone abandoned isn't done.
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Wilson's Averaging 114 at $450k With 0% Ownership. Five Straight Buy Verdicts Say the Market Is Asleep.
Darcy Wilson is averaging 114 at $450k with 0% ownership. The registry has said buy five rounds running, hitting confidence 9 in R12. The most underpriced premium MID in SuperCoach 2026.
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Coleman's Averaging 82 as a $366k DEF. The Cash Cow Job Is Done. Here's Why You're Holding Too Long.
Keidean Coleman has grown from $233k to $366k — a 56% gain. The registry says sell. Here's why the cash cow job is done and every round you hold costs you.
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Humphrey's Averaging 74. Strip Out Two Scores and It's 52. Three Straight Sell Verdicts Haven't Changed.
Bailey Humphrey's 74 average hides a mid-pricer who's been pricing down since R6. Three straight sell verdicts, volatile scoring, and flat cash gen — here's why the average is the trap.
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$99k Rookies for the SuperCoach 2026 Run Home: Who to Bring In Now
The current wave of $99k rookies (Hall-Kahan, Fitzgerald, Annand and others) is one of the best downgrade opportunities of the season. Here's exactly how to use them for cash generation and bench depth without blowing up your finals push.
Top targets: Hall-Kahan, Fitzgerald, Annand · Primary use: Cash gen + bench emergencies
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Captaincy & VC Optimization in Round 15+ (2026 Run Home)
How to maximise captaincy and vice-captain points from Round 15 onward. Loophole strategy, Geelong fixture leverage, reliability focus, and building a captain rotation that survives the run home and finals.
Captain multiplier: 2× every round · Typical edge: 80–130 points per round
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SuperCoach DPP Changes After Round 17: Who Gains Eligibility & How to Use It
Post-Round 17 DPP eligibility updates are one of the last major roster levers of the 2026 season. Here's who is gaining forward status, who is borderline, and exactly how to plan your final trades around these changes.
DPP lock-in: After Round 17 · Likely gains FWD: Cumming, Anderson, Cross
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Fixture Analysis for the 2026 SuperCoach Run Home
Complete fixture breakdown for the SuperCoach 2026 run home. Geelong’s dream schedule, other favourable teams, rest risks, DPP timing, and how to use draw analysis to guide your final trades and captaincy decisions.
Standout club: Geelong (widely viewed as dream run) · Key window: Rounds 15–23
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SuperCoach Round 15 Bye Strategy: How to Survive the Final Bye Round
Round 15 is the last major bye round of 2026. Here's how to manage limited trades, VC loops, and bench cover without burning your run-home plans.
Round: 15 · Key theme: VC loops + limited trades
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SuperCoach AFL 2026 Run Home & Finals Push Strategy Guide
The complete run home and finals push playbook for SuperCoach 2026. Fixture analysis, trade priorities, rookie bench strategy, DPP timing, and how to peak your team from Round 15 onward.
Current round: Round 14–15 · Key window: Next 6–8 weeks
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Trade Targets for the SuperCoach 2026 Run Home
The definitive list of trade targets for the 2026 SuperCoach run home. Focus on reliability, Geelong fixture leverage, DPP timing, and players who can deliver in finals formats from Round 15 onward.
Current round: Round 14–15 · Trade window: Next 4–6 weeks critical
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Macrae's Averaging 85. Strip Out One Score and It's 62. Five Straight Sell Verdicts Haven't Changed.
Macrae's 85 average hides a 62 reality. Five straight sell verdicts, $80k in price erosion, and cash gen at zero. The registry says sell — here's why the average is lying.
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McAndrew Was the Season's Best Cash Cow. Everyone Sold on Schedule. The Registry Just Said Buy Again — at 0% Ownership.
McAndrew is averaging 96.3 at $409k with $8,079/wk cash gen and 0% ownership. The registry's buy call is the most overlooked re-entry of the season.
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Hardwick Has Averaged 91 as a Premium DEF All Year. He Just Scored 21 in a Close Game. The Registry Says Sell.
Seven holds and two buys all season, then 21 in a close game broke the premium DEF thesis. Four sub-average scores in six rounds is a trend, not a bad day — the registry says sell during the byes.
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Flanders Averaged 110 Through Nine Rounds. He Scored 39 in R12 With an Achilles Flag. The Registry Has Flipped to Sell.
Nine consecutive buy/hold verdicts through the season, then R12 changed everything. Achilles flag, role change to half-back, and a 39-point score — the registry has flipped Flanders to sell.
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Gresham's Averaging 54 Against a 35 Breakeven. Looks Like Cash Gen. The Registry Has Said Avoid Since Round 6.
Gresham averages 54 against a 35 breakeven and just posted 55. The registry has said avoid four times running. Here's the trap coaches are walking into.
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Murdock Owners Split 58/32 on the R11 Tagging Scare. He Scored 102 in R12. The Registry Never Wavered.
The community split 58/32 on trading Murdock after his R10 tagging dip. He scored 102 in R12. Here's what the registry saw that the market missed.
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Trade McCluggage, Not Retschko — the Hamstring Strain Just Made This One Easy
Hugh McCluggage and Patrick Retschko were both "watch" calls heading into R14 — until McCluggage's hamstring strain made the trade decision for you.
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Cameron's Average (66.7) Clears His Breakeven (60) — Exactly the Profile You Hold. He Just Scored 14. The Registry Says Sell.
Jeremy Cameron held for five straight rounds on a comfortable average-over-breakeven buffer. A 14 in Round 13 just erased that buffer and flipped cash gen to -$3,088/wk — here is why the registry didn't wait for a second data point.
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Maynard Bounced Back From a 52 and a 46 This Season. The Registry Won't Bet on a Third Comeback.
Brayden Maynard has bounced back from a 52 and a 46 this season — two alarms, two big responses. R13's 32 against Melbourne is a bigger miss than both, and for the first time his cash generation has gone negative. The registry isn't backing a third comeback.
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McInerney's Averaging 137. He Just Scored 41 in a 2-Point Thriller. The Registry Says Sell.
Justin McInerney's 137 average looks like value at $441.8k-ish. But three of his last five rounds have finished below breakeven, cash gen has gone negative for the fourth time this season, and R13's 41 came in a 2-point SCG thriller Sydney actually needed him for. The registry says sell.
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Whitlock's Average (48) Still Clears His Breakeven (41) — Textbook Cash Cow. He Just Scored 11. The Registry Says Avoid.
Jack Whitlock's average still clears his breakeven by seven points — on paper, a cash cow with room to run. He just scored 11 with zero marks and zero tackles, and the registry says the role question is back. Avoid.
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Rosas Is Averaging 24 With a $271k Price Tag. He Just Scored 66, 35 Clear of BE. The Registry Says Buy — Again.
Malcolm Rosas is averaging 24 at $271k after a brutal three-week stretch — but his R13 66 (35 clear of breakeven) is the same shape as the two breakouts that came before it. The registry says buy, again.
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Pearce's Sell Call Is Eight Rounds Old. His Price Has Dropped $121k Since. The Registry Hasn't Budged.
Alex Pearce's sell verdict has stood since Round 6. His price has dropped $121.5k since Round 1 and the registry hasn't reversed once — here's why one big score isn't changing the call.
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Hill Is Averaging 47 With a $394k Price Tag. The Registry Just Said Buy. Here's What the Average Is Hiding.
Bradley Hill is averaging 47 at $394.8k and the registry just flipped from sell to buy. The 47 is an injury-disruption artifact — here's what his real ceiling looks like.
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Fritsch Just Posted 104. The Registry Has Said Sell Three Rounds Running. Here's Why the Verdict Stands.
Bayley Fritsch scored 104 in Round 13 but the registry has said sell for three rounds running. Here's why the inconsistency thesis still stands.
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Bramble Is Averaging 74 With a $286k Price. The Registry Has Said Avoid Three Times. Here's the Floor It's Hiding.
Bramble's season average is 74 with a 42 breakeven — but his cash gen is bleeding and the registry has said avoid three of the last four rounds.
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Curnow Scored 156 in R12. The Community Is Backing His Hold. His Season Average Is 34.
Curnow scored 156 in R12 but his season average is still 34. Before you buy in on the role change, here's what the registry has seen before.
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Lewis Young Has 60% of the Community Backing His Hold. The Registry Has Said Sell for Two Rounds Running.
The community is 60/40 on whether to hold Lewis Young. The registry has called sell at confidence 7 then 8 for two rounds running. Here is why the hold camp has it wrong.
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Bontempelli Hit 163, 118, 119 in Three Starts. The Registry Is Confidence 9 Buy at $589k. The 30% Who Were Waiting Have Run Out of Reasons.
The community was 55/30 on Bontempelli in Round 9. Three scores of 163, 118 and 119 later, the confidence-9 buy signal has settled the debate.
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Daicos Is Averaging 80 With a 62 Breakeven. The Registry Says Sell. Here's What the Average Is Hiding.
Daicos averages 80 with a 62 BE. On paper he looks fine. The registry moved to sell in R12. Here's what those numbers are not telling you.
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Dunkley Scored 98 in R12. The Registry Still Says Sell. Here's Why.
Dunkley's 98 last round looks like a turning point. The registry has said sell four rounds running. Here's why one good score doesn't fix $206k in losses.
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45% Are Waiting on Holmes's DEF DPP Before Buying. The Price Won't Wait With Them.
Max Holmes is averaging 128 at $579k with an 85 BE, but 45% of coaches are waiting for his DEF DPP before buying. The registry has the actual reason to wait — and it has nothing to do with price.
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Murdock Tagged Out for 38 in R10. The 32% Trading Him Are Getting Ahead of the Data.
Milan Murdock scored 38 when tagged on Daicos in R10. 58% are holding through the bye, 32% are moving on. The registry logged a Daicos-specific tag assignment — here is what that means for the decision.
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Adams Was on the Register as 'Avoid' Before Round 1. The 65% Trading Him Out Are Just Catching Up.
The SC community is 65% on trading Taylor Adams out. The registry said avoid before Round 1 — here's what the data has shown all season.
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The Bailey Contract Noise Is a Distraction. The Registry Has a Different Problem With Him.
The community split 60/28 on whether Zac Bailey contract noise matters for SuperCoach. The registry went to watch in R9 for a different reason. Here is what the scoring data is actually showing.
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The 51 at Adelaide Cost Zurhaar His Owners. The Registry Has Said Buy Two Rounds Running.
Zurhaar posted 51 in a 68-point blowout at Adelaide. Coaches traded out. The registry has said buy in R9 and R11 both. Here is why the market is reading the wrong number.
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Reeves Bounced from 35 to 87 Last Time He Had a Horror Floor. He Just Scored 31 Again.
Ned Reeves bounced from 35 to 87 last time he had a horror floor. He just scored 31 again. The registry says this time the pattern lands differently — and it called sell.
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Pittonet Averaged 110. His Breakeven Is 55. He's Also Scored 37 Twice Running.
Pittonet's 110 average and 55 BE look like a hold argument. Two consecutive 37s from a recovering hand fracture tell a different story — and the registry called sell.
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Collins Was a Watch for Six Rounds. Four Straight BE-Clearers Later, the Registry Says Buy.
Samuel Collins was a watch case for six rounds of SuperCoach 2026. Four straight scores above his breakeven later, the registry says buy. Here is why the inconsistency narrative is done.
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Richards Scored 62 in R10. The Registry Said Sell. Then He Posted 140.
The registry said sell on Ed Richards in R10. He was hobbling and clearly carrying an injury. Then he posted 140 in R11. Here is why buying back makes sense.
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Rachele Has Averaged 99 This Season. Check the Match Margin Column.
Rachele averages 99 with a 59 BE but the registry says sell — here is the blowout inflation data and role-shrink coaches are ignoring.
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Serong Scored 113. His Average Is 113. His Breakeven Is 69. The Registry Still Says Sell.
Serong averaged 113 with a 69 BE but the registry says sell — here is the TOG cap and cash gen data coaches are missing.
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Buckley Was a $400k Buy in Round 1. The Registry Has Said Avoid Since Round 6. Here's the $88k the Season Average Is Hiding.
Buckley's 70.5 season average looks okay. But it includes his pre-injury form. Post-injury he's averaged 59.6 across five games, the registry has said avoid since Round 6, and his price has fallen $88k.
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Curtin Came Back for 49, 74, and 48. The 55% Who Bought Him on Return Are Now on a Sell at $363k.
The community split 55/30 on Curtin at his Round 8 return. Three rounds later, the registry says sell at $363k. Here's what the data found.
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Gresham Was a $298k Buy in Pre-Season. By Round 8, the Registry Had Said Avoid Twice. Here's What the Average Is Hiding.
He averaged 63 against a 44 BE. The cash gen never moved. The registry has called avoid twice, and the Essendon coaching change makes the current position worse.
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Caminiti's Breakeven Is 29 and His Average Is 43. This Is What a Value Trap Looks Like.
His BE is 29. His average is 43. On paper that's a hold. The registry has called avoid for eight straight rounds and the price arc backs it.
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55% Called Tsatas's Round 8 Drop a Coaching Blunder. The Registry Called Sell the Day He Was Named Out.
55% of coaches called Tsatas's Round 8 drop a coaching blunder. The verdict registry called sell the same day he was named out. Here's what the data said.
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Brad Scott Is Gone. These 5 Bombers Benefit Most.
Brad Scott was sacked today. Five Essendon players — led by Elijah Tsatas — are about to get a second chance under a new coach. Here's who to trade in before lockout.
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Bye Round 12 Trade Guide: Bombers Chaos & Smart Targets to Buy Now
Brad Scott's sacking has reshaped the Essendon trade landscape AND we're entering bye rounds. Here's how to trade through both without burning your bank.
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Murdock Scored 38 When Tagged by Daicos. The 32% Trading Him Out Are Missing Something.
Murdock scored 38 when tagged by Daicos in Round 10. The 32% trading him out are missing his FWD DPP gain — here is the hold case.
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McKay Was Scoring 73 in Round 1. The Registry Called Sell in Round 6. The 25% Still Holding Are Too Late.
The community split 65/25 on trading McKay after his Round 9 drop. The registry has been calling sell since Round 6. Here's the data trail that settles it.
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He Kicked Three Goals. Richmond Still Dropped Him for Round 11.
Liam Fawcett was dropped for Round 11 despite kicking three goals. At $132.4k, the cash gen window is closed. The registry says avoid — get out before the price adjusts.
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Grundy's 203 Will Have Coaches Scrambling. The Registry Says Sit on Your Hands.
Grundy scored 203 in R10 against a ruck-less Collingwood. His real average is 132. Here is why buying at $685k after the spike is the wrong move and what the registry says to do.
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Jackson Scored 66. The 65% Who Captained Him Want Answers.
The 65% who captained Luke Jackson in R10 got 66 while Grundy posted 203. Here is what actually happened and whether to captain him in R11.
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Jones Scored 111 Away From Home. GWS Only Scored 71.
Darcy Jones scored 111 in an away loss in Round 10 — his third game back from ACL. Output is escalating 86→57→111 and the registry says buy. Here's the full read.
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Carroll Has Scored Three Centuries This Season. He's $303k.
Jack Carroll is averaging 105 points per game at $303,500 with a 45 breakeven and $7,344 per round cash gen. The registry says buy. Here's why the market is behind.
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You Bought Curnow After the 128. The Registry Said Sell in Round 8. Here's Where You Are Now.
Curnow scored 128 in R7 and the registry called buy. Since then: 19, DNP, 34. Season average 44.5, BE 50, cash gen negative. The sell call has been on since R8.
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Sullivan Robey Scored 68 Away at GWS in a Loss. The Registry Has Said Buy Since Round 6.
At $209k with back-to-back 68s and a 31 BE, the buy case on Sullivan Robey has been confirmed for four rounds running.
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His Breakeven Is 19. He's Scored 20–22 for Four Straight Weeks.
Oliver Hannaford's breakeven of 19 keeps his SC tracker green every week. But his last four scores — 20, 20, 22, and a 16 before the R5 outlier — say the GWS cash cow role has never arrived. The registry verdict is avoid.
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Bramble Averaged 68.5 This Season. He Also Scored 27 in a Two-Point Thriller.
Lachlan Bramble's 68.5 season average is being carried by one 88 in a 66-point blowout loss. He's gone missing three times in 2026, including a 27 in last week's two-point thriller. The registry verdict is avoid.
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The 55% Calling the Tsatas Drop a Coaching Blunder Are Missing Two Numbers
The R8 omission split the SC community three ways. The tackle data and time-on-ground numbers had already told the story.
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Collins Is Averaging 49. His Price Is Still Falling. Buy.
Samuel Collins has four consecutive above-breakeven scores for the first time all season. The verdict flipped from watch to buy after R9 — and the market has not noticed yet.
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Rankine Scored 149. Sell.
The verdict has called sell on Izak Rankine for five consecutive rounds. The 149 in R9 just opened the exit window one more time.
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Weddle Is Losing $4,641 Every Week and the Role Fix Is Not Coming
Nine straight avoid verdicts. Price down $111k. Role broken. The $320k floor on Weddle is not cheap — it is still bleeding $4,641 every week.
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The 28% Selling Bailey Over Contract Noise Are Six Rounds Too Early
Round 9 split Bailey owners three ways. The 28% selling on contract noise are six rounds too early — here is what the signal registry actually says.
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Callum Wilkie Went Down in R9. The Market Is Frozen. The Verdict Isn't.
Wilkie averaged 114 all season then went down injured in R9. The market is sitting on him at $500k. Here is why the verdict says get out now.
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The 55% Picking Up Curtin This Week Are a Round Too Early
Community split 55/30 on picking up Curtin for R10. The verdict registry sides with the patience camp — here is why one more score changes everything.
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Captain Bailey Smith for R10. The Thursday Loophole Is Live Again.
BL vs GEEL kicks off the round Thursday night with two of the cleanest VC options in the comp. Here is the captain decision tree for Round 10.
- Players
Best Defender Under $500k for Round 10: Dale vs Zorko vs the Field
Community split on Zorko/Dale/Houston. R9 receipts call the sub-$500k DEF upgrade cleanly.
Round: 10 · Budget: Under $500k DEF
- Players
Kozzy Scored 65 and Got Reported. Now What.
Pickett owners face a 65 and an on-report. Hold for R10 — but the conviction shape is different than last week.
Round: 10 · R9 score: 65
- Players
Bont Went 163. The 55% Were Right — Here's What That Means for R10
Community split 55/30/15 on trading Bont in. We said wait. He scored 163. What changes at Round 10 lockout.
Round: 10 · R9 score: 163
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The 25% Still Holding Ben McKay Need To Read This Before Thursday
Dropped for R9 at $238.6k with two consecutive sell verdicts — why waiting for the recall is the trade trap of R10.
- Players
Max Gawn Is Not Cooked. Stop Trying to Trade Him.
He copped a knock and got rested forward for one game. The community is 70/30 hold. Selling now is selling low for no reason.
Round: 9 · Call: HOLD
- Players
Sean Darcy: Trade Out Now or Cop the Zeros?
Darcy's 4-5 week timeline is almost certainly optimistic. Community is 60/40 trade-out and the BE maths agrees.
Round: 9 · Call: TRADE OUT
- trades
Max Gawn Hold Or Trade R9 — Why The Forward Shift Is Noise
The SuperCoach community is split 70/20/10 on whether to trade Max Gawn after the forward rotation. The verdict registry has had the same call since Round 2 — here's why it still holds.
- Premiums
Do You Actually Need Bontempelli in SuperCoach 2026?
Only 30% of coaches own Bontempelli. Here's why the other 70% are paying more for the same player by waiting.
- Premiums
Do You Actually Need Bontempelli in SuperCoach 2026?
Only 30% of teams own Bont. He's averaging more points than most mid-pricers who've played twice as many games. Here's the real question: when do you get him, not whether.
Player: Marcus Bontempelli (WBD, MID) · Ownership: ~30%
- Rookies
Missed the SuperCoach Cash Cows? What to Do in Round 4 2026
Cook, Duursma and the main rookies have already risen. Is it still worth buying them now? And which new targets replace them if you've missed the boat?
Round: 4 of 23 · Main rookies price status: Cook, Duursma, McAndrew — 1-2 rises already
- Strategy
SuperCoach 2026 Injury Carnage — How to Survive Without Burning Your Season
Trac. Rozee. Young. Gulden. Xerri. Murdock. It's only Round 4 and the carnage is already historic. Here's how to manage your 40 trades when injuries are coming for everyone.
Total trades: 40 for the season · Major injuries R1-R4: Trac (4-6wk), Rozee (2-3mo), Young (hamstring), Gulden (4wk+), Xerri (3wk), Murdock (hamstring)
- Captains
SuperCoach Captains Guide — Round 4 2026
Captain Butters or Bont this week? Xerri's out, Daicos is a test, the competition is wide open. Full rankings, VC strategy and the loophole setup for Round 4.
Round: 4 of 23 · Xerri status: Out — suspended
- Strategy
Can ChatGPT Give You SuperCoach Advice? We Tested It.
We ran the same SuperCoach trade questions through ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Here's exactly what went wrong — and what you actually need for real decisions.
Tested: ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini · Queries run: 12
- Strategy
SuperCoach Bank Building vs Premo Chase: When to Each and How to Get the Balance Right
The biggest strategic tension in SuperCoach: build your bank or upgrade your premiums now? Here's the framework for making the right call every time.
Cash gen window: Rounds 1–10 · Prime upgrade window: Rounds 8–16
- Strategy
SuperCoach Breakeven Strategy: How to Read Price Movement and Trade at the Right Time
Understanding breakevens is the difference between buying players at their cheapest and burning money on falling stocks. Here's how to use breakeven data to time every trade.
Price update frequency: After every round · Scores used: Last 3 games (rolling)
- Strategy
SuperCoach Bye Round Strategy: How to Build a Team That Survives Rounds 12–14
The bye rounds wreck more SuperCoach seasons than any other variable. Here's how to build a team that stays competitive through Rounds 12–14 without burning trades.
Bye rounds: Rounds 12, 13, 14 · Teams per round: 6 teams each round
- Strategy
SuperCoach Captain Strategy: How to Pick the Right Captain Every Round
Captaincy is the single biggest scoring lever you have each week. A great captain can add 80–130 points over a bad pick. Here's how to get it right every round.
Captain score multiplier: 2× (score doubled) · Points gap: great vs bad captain: 80–130 points/round
- Strategy
The SuperCoach Loophole Explained (And How to Use It)
The SuperCoach loophole is the most powerful captain strategy in the game. Here's exactly how it works, when to use it, and how to pick the right loop option.
What it does: Uses VC score as C score · When to activate: Before C's game locks
- Strategy
SuperCoach Trade Chain Planning: How to Map Multi-Trade Cascades
One trade is easy. Four trades that work together to transform your team by Round 18 — that's what separates top 1% coaches. Here's how to plan the chain.
Starting trades: 24 · Avg top 1% trade usage: 22–24 by Round 23
- Strategy
SuperCoach 2026: The R3 Trade Audit — Petracca, Rozee, Gulden
Three injured premiums, three different decisions. Here's exactly when to cut, when to hold, and what to bring in for each.
Petracca: Hamstring, 4–6 weeks — trade if you have the cash · Rozee: Soft tissue TBC — wait for the timeline before acting
- Captains
SuperCoach Captains Guide — Round 3 2026
Who to captain in Round 3 SuperCoach 2026. Ranked options, matchup context, VC strategy, and the must-know bye trap that caught half the competition off guard.
Round: 3 of 23 · Top Captain Pick: Tristan Xerri
- Trade Strategy
How to Get Bontempelli Into Your SuperCoach Team (2026)
Everyone wants Bont. Not everyone has the cash. Here's the upgrade path — which trades free the most money, which rookies generate fastest, and why Round 2's injury carnage might actually get you there sooner.
Player: Marcus Bontempelli (WBD, MID) · Price: $706,800
- Strategy
The SuperCoach VC Loophole Explained (2026 Edition)
Every week coaches agonise over whether to loop their vice captain score. Here's exactly how the loophole works, when to use it, and the threshold that separates the smart calls from the panic moves.
What it is: Taking your VC score as your C score · When it applies: When your VC plays before your C
- Trade Strategy
Who Comes In for Rozee? Dan Houston, Tom Stewart, or Hold
Connor Rozee is out with a soft tissue injury and coaches need a replacement. Here's the case for every option — Houston, Stewart, Zorko, and holding — with the numbers to back it up.
Player out: Connor Rozee (PTA, MID/FWD) — soft tissue · Timeline: TBC — multiple weeks
- Strategy
We Overreacted to the SuperCoach Ruck Rule Changes
Pre-season, coaches fled the ruck position. Two rounds in, Xerri and Gawn are making everyone look silly. Here's what the early data actually shows about the 2026 ruck rule changes.
Rule change: Reduced ruck contests — more boundary throw-ins · Pre-season consensus: Avoid premium rucks
- Trade Strategy
SuperCoach Bye Rounds Calendar 2026 — Complete Guide
Every bye round for every AFL team in SuperCoach 2026. Which clubs have two byes, when the R12–16 gauntlet hits, and how to structure your team to survive it.
Bye rounds: R2, R3, R4 (early) + R12–R16 (gauntlet) · Two-bye clubs: 10 clubs — BRI, CAR, COLL, GCS, GEE, GWS, HAW, STK, SYD, WBD
- Trade Strategy
SuperCoach Cash Generation Strategy 2026 — How to Build a War Chest
The price cycle is real, it's compounding now, and most coaches are leaving $200k on the table. Here's the complete cash generation guide for 2026 — who to hold, when to sell, and what to buy with the money.
Best cash cow right now: Jagga Smith — avg 89, projects to ~$270k (+$150k) · 4-rookie Wave 1 portfolio: ~$440k projected total gain
- Trade Strategy
Should You Trade Petracca in SuperCoach 2026? Here's the Math
Petracca is out 4-6 weeks with a hamstring. Three Reddit threads, 50+ comments, and no consensus. Here's the actual decision framework — with the math — for your specific situation.
Player: Christian Petracca (MFC, MID/FWD) · Injury: Hamstring — 4-6 weeks
- Strategy
AAMI Community Series Wash-Up: SuperCoach 2026 Winners & Losers
The five biggest SuperCoach takeaways from the 2026 AAMI Community Series. We watched all nine practice matches so you didn't have to — here are the winners who locked in Round 1 spots, the losers who raised red flags, and the role changes that reshape your squad.
Matches Reviewed: 9 AAMI Community Series games · Biggest Winner: Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera — midfield role confirmed
- Strategy
AFL Sub Rule Removed: SuperCoach Winners & Losers in 2026
The AFL's sub rule is gone in 2026. Here's how it restructures SuperCoach scoring — and the 7 players who benefit most when durability beats volatility.
Rule Change: Medical sub abolished — no replacement for injured players · Biggest Structural Shift: Durability > volatility
- Strategy
Best Mid-Pricers 2026: The Only Ones Worth Picking
Best SuperCoach mid-pricers 2026: data-driven rankings of the $200k-$450k players genuinely worth your salary cap. Mispriced premiums, injury discounts, and positional steals — analysed and ranked.
Mid-Pricers Analysed: 340 players · Worth Picking: 8-10 at most
- Betting Strategy
SuperCoach 2026: 10 Round 1 Locks [Pre-Lockout Update]
Duursma, Uwland & Dean top our 10 SuperCoach 2026 Round 1 locks. Debut markets, confidence scores, basement prices — before lockout Mar 20.
Players Profiled: 10 (6 rookies + 4 value picks) · Avg Round 1 Confidence: 87% across our top 6
- Strategy
The Second-Year Leap: 2026 Rookies Ready to Explode
The Sophomore Slump is a myth in SuperCoach. Data shows the 2024 draft class — entering Year 2 with a full pre-season — will post the most aggressive price rises of any group. We identify the three best bets.
Historical Leap: +32% scoring jump in Year 2 · The Alpha: Taj Hotton (Richmond, $246,900)
- Rookie Analysis
SuperCoach Round 1 Locks: 8 Players You Can't Leave Out
Eight SuperCoach 2026 players you absolutely cannot leave out of your Round 1 team. SC price, average, value score, and a one-sentence verdict on each — structured to help you lock in before the March 20 lockout.
Players Profiled: 8 (4 draft picks + 4 proven rookies) · Lockout Date: Thursday March 20
- Rookie Analysis
Rookies Nobody Is Talking About: 7 Undervalued SuperCoach 2026 Picks
The 7 most undervalued SuperCoach 2026 rookies the mainstream is sleeping on. Data-backed contrarian picks with real upside — structured for the coaches who want an edge.
Sleepers Profiled: 7 (across 4 positions) · Avg Ownership: Under 20%
- Strategy
The Round 0 Loophole: How to Exploit the 2026 Opening Weekend
Round 0 provides a free look at players before the Round 1 price-lock. Here is how to use the 'vision check' to fix your SuperCoach bench.
Price Lock: Round 1 (not Round 0) · Vision Check: 8 teams available early
- Strategy
The Tassie Factor: How the 19th Team is Changing Rookie Opportunity
The upcoming Tasmanian entry is forcing clubs to 'blood the kids' earlier than ever. We analyze how list management is creating a rookie goldmine in 2026.
Expansion Date: 2028 (Estimated) · Club Response: Aggressive youth injection
- Strategy
Burned on the Outside, Frozen on the Inside: The Mid-Pricer Fallacy
Why mid-priced SuperCoach players look like the safe middle ground — and why that's exactly the trap. The fallacy of the average in 650 words.
- Strategy
The Mid-Pricer Trap: Why $200k-$400k Players Are Killing Your SuperCoach Team
Why are mid-priced players bad in SuperCoach? Our data proves they are the worst value tier in 2026. Learn how to build a winning team structure here.
Mid-Pricer Avg SC: 61.2 (340 players) · Premium Avg SC: 93.3 (157 players)
- Strategy
SuperCoach Team Structure 2026: How to Build a Winning Team
The definitive guide to SuperCoach team structure in 2026. Salary cap breakdown, position requirements, premium vs rookie balance, and a concrete starter build with real player prices.
2026 Salary Cap: $14.22M · Squad Size: 30 players (22 + 8 bench)
- Strategy
The Tassie Factor: Homecoming Contracts and SuperCoach Impact in 2026
Does the Tasmania Devils expansion actually affect 2026 SuperCoach picks? We break down which Tassie-born AFL players are genuinely motivated by foundation contracts — and which ones are just noise.
Tasmania AFL Entry: 2028 (confirmed) · Tassie-born players tracked: 9 in current AFL system
- Strategy
Best Value Picks by Position: The 2026 SuperCoach Bargain Bin
Position-by-position breakdown of the best value SuperCoach picks for 2026. Data-driven analysis of points-per-dollar at every line.
Best Overall Value: Ewan Mackinlay (8.1 V/S) · Best DEF Value: Lewis Hayes ($120k, 64.0)
- Strategy
The Rookie Reliability Index: Which SuperCoach Rookies Won't Let You Down
Not all rookies are created equal. Our Reliability Index scores every rookie by floor, ceiling, and stat diversity to find the safest picks in SuperCoach 2026.
Rookies Analysed: 35 with stats · Most Reliable: Tom McCarthy (30.3 stat total)
- Strategy
2026 AFL Rule Changes: The Complete SuperCoach Impact Guide
How the 2026 AFL rule changes affect SuperCoach scoring. Winners, losers, and the players to target based on data analysis of all 780 players.
Players Analysed: 780 · Biggest Winners: Young intercept defenders
- Strategy
2025 Draft Class: Who Plays Round 1? Traffic Light Guide
Every pick in the top 20 of the 2025 AFL Draft rated 🟢🟡🔴 for Round 1 chances. Insider preseason intel, obscure data points, and SuperCoach impact.
Picks Analysed: Top 20 · 🟢 Locks: 6 players
Prefer the raw board? Player index