Williams Was Avoid for Five Straight Rounds. Three Above-BE Scores Later, the Registry Just Flipped to Buy at Confidence 8.
Jack Williams was avoid for five straight rounds. After a role confirmation and three consecutive above-BE scores with 69% cash gen, the registry has flipped to buy at confidence 8.
Williams Was Avoid for Five Straight Rounds. Three Above-BE Scores Later, the Registry Just Flipped to Buy at Confidence 8.
Five avoids in a row. Then a role confirmation. Then 57, 84, 85. Cash gen at 69%. The market hasn't caught up yet.
Jack Williams has been one of those names you scroll past. West Coast forward, 280k-ish price tag, crowded forward stocks, no average data worth looking at. The registry said avoid in R0, avoid in R1, avoid in R2, avoid in R3, avoid in R7. Five straight rounds of "nothing to see here."
Then the role changed. And the registry changed with it.
Why everyone wrote him off
Fair enough, too. West Coast's forward line has been a revolving door all season. Williams had no clear path to consistent selection — the Eagles were cycling bodies through and he was one of many fighting for scraps. His one shot in R7 produced a 26 in a 101-point shellacking by St Kilda. That's the kind of score that confirms every avoid call.
At 278k with a 41 BE and no meaningful average, he was the definition of a fade. The community wasn't even discussing him. Nobody was.
What actually changed
Duff Tytler went down injured. McQualter confirmed Williams as the replacement in his post-match presser before R10. That's not speculation — that's the head coach naming the role.
Williams responded:
- R10: 57 at home against GWS in a 17-point win. Above his 41 BE in a genuine contest.
- R11: 84 away at the MCG against Collingwood in a 10-point loss. Two consecutive above-BE scores with a locked role.
- R12: 85 at home against Essendon in a 30-point win. Three straight above-BE scores. Cash gen running at 69.57%.
The registry called watch after R10 — "if he holds selection and scores above BE again, treat this as a legitimate pickup." He did exactly that. Twice. The verdict flipped to buy at confidence 7 in R11 and buy at confidence 8 in R12.
The numbers
At 280k-ish with a 41 BE, Williams is one of the cheapest confirmed-role FWD options in the comp right now. His last three scores average 75 — 34 points above breakeven. Cash gen at 69.57% means he's generating real money every round he plays.
The forward line is thin this season. Everyone knows it. The cash cow pool has been called "unusually poor" by the community for weeks. And here's a bloke at basement price, locked role, three straight above-BE scores, and the registry at its highest confidence level.
His ownership would be negligible because nobody was watching when the flip happened. That's the anomaly — the registry moved three rounds ago and the market's still operating on the old avoid consensus.
The position
Buy. At this price point you're getting a confirmed FWD role with genuine cash gen for essentially nothing. The risk is West Coast's forward stocks shifting again when Duff Tytler returns, but for now the role is locked and the output is consistent.
If you need a FWD at the bottom end of your squad — and most coaches do at this stage of the season — Williams is the pick the data says you should be making. The five-round avoid streak is the reason he's this cheap. The three-round buy streak is the reason that won't last.
Updated: 21 June 2026. Data sourced from RookieBible intel registry.
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