Macrae's Averaging 85. Strip Out One Score and It's 62. Five Straight Sell Verdicts Haven't Changed.

His season average looks like a solid mid-pricer. His last six scores tell a completely different story.

Jackson Macrae is sitting at $409.9k with an 85 average and an 80 BE. On paper, that's a mid-priced midfielder doing his job — clearing breakeven, holding value, generating something. The registry has said sell five rounds running. Here's why the average is lying to you.

The scores behind the average

Since R8, Macrae has posted: 68, 59, 109, 61, 67, 57.

That 109 in R10 was against Richmond in a 36-point belting. Take it out and his last five competitive scores average 62.4. That's not mid-pricer output — that's a player bleeding value in slow motion.

The registry caught it in R8. He scored 68 in a 39-point St Kilda win — 12 below his BE while his team cruised. If you can't score above breakeven when your side wins by 39, the role isn't delivering what the price demands.

The R10 trap

The 109 was real, but it was also a textbook trap score. Richmond got thumped by 36 points, St Kilda's midfield feasted, and Macrae was a beneficiary of the blowout. The registry upgraded him to watch — not buy — and explicitly said don't reverse the sell call on a single blowout number.

R11 proved the point: 61 away to Fremantle in a 30-point loss. The R10 revival lasted exactly one round.

If you held through R10 hoping the 109 was a turning point, you've watched his price drop another $25k-ish since then. The sell window keeps closing.

The cash gen story

This is where it gets ugly. Cash gen has run negative since R8:

• R8: -$2,417/wk
• R9: -$3,942/wk
• R10: -$4,432/wk (still negative despite the 109)
• R11: -$4,823/wk
• R12: -$5,041/wk
• R13: $0/wk

That's $80k in price erosion from $490k to $410k across six rounds. Every week you hold, you're paying opportunity cost on a player who isn't generating anything.

Why people are still holding

The 85 average is doing heavy lifting here. It looks respectable. If you glance at Macrae on your squad list and see 85 next to his name, you think he's fine — not great, but fine. Not worth burning a trade on.

That's the loss aversion talking. You've already invested in him, the average says he's okay, and selling feels like admitting the pick was wrong. But the average is propped up by early-season scores that aren't coming back, and the one blowout against Richmond.

The registry doesn't care about sunk cost. It sees a player scoring 62-ish in real terms, priced at $410k, with no cash gen and a BE he can't consistently clear. That's a sell.

What to do with the cash

At $410k you're not getting a premium back — you're getting the runway to pick up a genuine cash cow or a rising mid-pricer who's actually clearing breakeven every week. Sideways to someone like Sam Berry ($506.9k, avg 106, cash gen +$2,362/wk) costs $97k extra but gives you 20+ points a week more. Or downgrade to a rookie generating real cash and bank the $410k for a later upgrade.

Either way, the math is better than holding a player whose real output is 62 and whose price is still falling.

The call

Sell — and don't wait for another 109 to make the decision harder. Five consecutive sell verdicts from the registry is as strong a signal as you'll get. The average is masking the problem, the cash gen confirms it, and every week you hold is another $4-5k in value you're not getting back.

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Updated: 18 June 2026. Data sourced from RookieBible intel registry.

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