Pittonet Averaged 110. His Breakeven Is 55. He's Also Scored 37 Twice Running.
Pittonet's 110 average and 55 BE look like a hold argument. Two consecutive 37s from a recovering hand fracture tell a different story — and the registry called sell.
Pittonet Averaged 110. His Breakeven Is 55. He's Also Scored 37 Twice Running.
The numbers that look like a safe hold are the same numbers hiding a ruck who hasn't been himself since his hand break.
Marc Pittonet is sitting in a lot of teams right now and the logic sounds tight: 110 average, 55 BE, job-secured #1 ruck at Carlton. Two of those things are still true. One isn't.
Why the Hold Argument Feels Airtight
The BE-to-average gap is brutal to ignore. A 55 BE against a 110 average means clearing by 55 points every week — at least, that's what the season average implies. When you locked him in at $407k-ish pre-season, the cycle was straightforward: let him run through the premium ruck slot, upgrade at the back end when cash gen flattens out.
He delivered through Round 6. Scores of 110, 90, 83 — all well above BE, all locking in the Carlton ruck spot. When the hand fracture kept him out of Round 7, the logic was easy: hold through one miss on a premium ruck with job security. That's just basic cycle management.
The problem is what happened when he came back.
What Two Back-to-Back 37s Actually Mean
R8 return: Carlton lost to St Kilda by 39, Pittonet posted 38. Context explains it. First game back from the fracture, blowout, hand still settling. The registry flagged it as a hold — not a sell. Fair enough.
R9 against the Lions in an 11-point loss — a genuine contest with no blowout padding. He posted 37. Same score, different game, same hand dragging down every output.
Two consecutive 37s in competitive games from a ruck who averages 110 isn't bad luck. It's an ongoing hand fracture that hasn't resolved. Cash gen is bleeding at -$1,241 per round. The price has slid from $445k at peak to $377.9k and it's still moving. The registry called sell after R9 — not watch, not hold, sell — because the two-game pattern in legitimate game contexts is the confirmation, not a one-game blip.
The 110 average is a relic of healthy Pittonet. The player currently in your team is averaging 37 over the last fortnight.
The Call: Sell Before the Exit Window Closes
The 55 BE feels like a safety net. It isn't. It just means the price slides slowly rather than crashing overnight. But slide it does — down $67k from peak already, bleeding another $1,241 every round you hold.
Every week you wait for the bounce is another chunk off the exit price. For me, the verdict is clear: sell before the window narrows further. There's no signal in the registry that the hand has resolved. Redirect the cash into a ruck who's actually scoring.
The 110 average got you into this. Don't let it keep you in.
Updated: June 2026. Data sourced from RookieBible intel registry.
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